When Will My Pebble Watch Ship?

Pebble Watches ready to ship

The long-awaited Pebble Watches are arriving soon! They have been trickling out since January 23, and if you are one of the 85,000 kickstarter backers of the Pebble Watch, then like me, you are obsessively checking your email for a shipment notification.

They have said that the watches will be shipping out in order of backing on Kickstarter for the most part.  Black ones will be shipping out faster, but you can still come up with a pretty good idea of where you are in line, with a bit of digging.

How Early Did You Pledge?

First, you’ll need to know exactly when you backed the project. Check your back emails for an email with the subject line:
 Thanks for becoming a backer of Pebble: E-Paper Watch for iPhone and Android by Pebble Technology.

It would be somewhere between April 12 and May 18, 2012.

You’ll also need to know how many watches per day were sold. Kicktraq offers some great statistics on activity for Kickstarter Projects. Take a look at their stats from the Pebble project to figure out how many backers are ahead of you.

Unfortunately, they only list the Pledges Per Day (dollars), and the number of Backers, not the number of watches, so to do this, you’ll need to do some crude math. If you add up the amount of pledges and the number of watches, the average watch is $115.  The color ones were more expensive, the early-birds and bulk orders were a bit cheaper, but it averages out.

Using that number, and the stats from Kicktraq, you can calculate your “number in line”.

Apr 12 0 – 8,664
Apr 13 8,665 – 14,804
Apr 14 14,805 – 18,173
Apr 15 18,174 – 20,749
Apr 16 20,750 – 24,053
Apr 17 24,054 – 30,124
Apr 18 30,125 – 37,138
Apr 19 37,139 – 41,776
Apr 20 41,777 – 44,461
Apr 21 44,462 – 45,971
Apr 22 45,972 – 47,540
Apr 23 47,541 – 49,530
Apr 24 49,531 – 51,013
Apr 25 51,014 – 52,236
Apr 26 52,237 – 53,579
Apr 27 53,580 – 54,636
Apr 28 54,637 – 55,585
Apr 29 55,586 – 56,598
Apr 30 56,599 – 59,885
May 1 59,886 – 63,310
May 2 63,311 – 65,770
May 3 65,771 – 68,028
May 4 68,029 – 69,627
May 5 69,628 – 70,562
May 6 70,563 – 71,790
May 7 71,791 – 73,207
May 8 73,208 – 78,788
May 9 78,789 – 83,437
May 10 83,438 – 83,521
May 11 83,522 – 83,566
May 12 83,567 – 83,581
May 13 83,582 – 83,615
May 14 83,616 – 83,650
May 15 83,651 – 83,663
May 16 83,664 – 83,685
May 17 83,686 – 83,919
May 18 83,920 – 84,361

You can take it a step further, and estimate that if you backed early in the morning, you’ll be closer to the beginning of the range and if you backed in the evening, you’ll be closer to the end of the range.

So When Do I Get My Watch?

So, what does that mean? Well, at a basic level, you should have a general idea of where you are.  To get a better feel for when you’ll actually see this thing on your wrist, follow the Pebble Updates to see how they’re progressing. They also have a great status site to show how many units have actually shipped so far, and they have said that they’re working towards a goal of shipping about 15k units per week.

Keep in mind, these are all wild estimates. You’ll get your watch when you get it. :)

In the meantime, keep checking your email!  I know I am!

Comments

  1. Jocelyn Hurley says

    It is hard to tell if this means we will be seeing Pebble watches on our friends’ wrists by Valentine’s Day, but the FCC approval should certainly help get the product out into the real world sooner.

  2. Tom says

    You can also check on the date pledged by going into your Kickstarter account ‘My Backer History.’

  3. Joetek says

    @Tom: Absolutely. I went to the email because that shows me the time as well as the date to really narrow it down, but yeah, if you don’t have the email, the Backer History section is a great option.

    Thanks!

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  5. Rebecca says

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